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Global Risk Level Is High Since The Financial Crisis.

2011/12/21 8:46:00 5

Global Risk Level High Financial Crisis

In December 15th, China Export and Credit Insurance Corp released the 2011 version of the national risk analysis report and the world in Beijing. risk Map. After continuous risk tracking and comprehensive analysis and evaluation, China's credit insurance in 2011 identified and assessed the risk level of 192 sovereign countries except China, and identified the national risk reference rating in 2011. Objectively evaluate the politics of these countries. Situation Economic development, balance of payments, external debt burden, financial situation and investment environment involve China's foreign trade. Economics The key factors of trade safety are in-depth hints about risks, revealing the international environment facing China's export and investment, and providing references for enterprises to explore overseas markets.


In 2011, the global risk level is at a relatively high level since the financial crisis. There has been no significant trend change, but it shows more complex characteristics and persistent pessimism. The impact of the financial crisis has cast a shadow over the prospects of the global economic recovery. The spread of the sovereign debt crisis and the uncertainty of economic growth have increased the risk level of some developed countries and regions. From the regional distribution, the rating downgrading countries are dominated by some African and Western European countries, with the rating being upgraded to some Central Asia, Southeast Asia and South Asia, central and Eastern Europe and Latin American countries. The new version of the national risk analysis report shows that the reference rating of 65 countries has changed. Among them, the risk level of 29 countries rose, the reference rating was downgraded, accounting for 15.1% of the total number of countries assessed, the risk level of 36 countries declined, and the reference rating was raised, accounting for 18.8% of the total number of countries assessed.


The report points out that North American trade frictions are increasing. In order to boost its domestic economy, the United States has made frequent use of trade protection against China, increasing trade frictions, and aiming at China's trade protection products from textile, light industry and other traditional labor-intensive industries to high-tech industries such as steel, nonferrous metals, chemicals, and new energy sources, electronic information and other high-tech industries. The sovereign debt crisis in Europe continues to spread, and countries are generally faced with problems such as weak economic growth, imbalance in fiscal revenue and expenditure, and high unemployment. The risks of Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Czech, Slovakia, Hungary, Ukraine, Belarus, Latvia and other countries deserve our attention. With the increase of global economic uncertainty, export oriented economies are facing severe external economic situation.


It is reported that in order to further improve the core products such as the national risk analysis report and the global risk map, China will also launch the China export trade credit index for the first time in 2012 (the "China credit insurance ERI" index), which mainly reflects the situation of China's trade with different countries, the risk situation of the industry and the payment status of buyers, which has become the complement and deepening of the national risk analysis report.

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